Investing Billions in Security and Strategic Autonomy

A Multi-Billion Euro Investment in Security

The European Union is preparing its most significant defense plan since the Cold War, with hundreds of billions of euros earmarked for security enhancements. This ambitious initiative, driven by the urgency of the current geopolitical climate, aims to bolster Europe's defense capabilities and strategic autonomy.

The plan's development will unfold in stages, beginning with an emergency meeting of EU leaders on March 6th. This gathering will lay the groundwork for a new defense strategy, to be presented by Defense Commissioner Andrius Kubilius and Foreign Minister Kaia Kallas on March 19th.

EU countries will be empowered to spend more on defense by relaxing fiscal rules. This could unlock up to 160 billion euros, potentially by excluding defense spending from budget deficit calculations. Negotiations are ongoing to define what constitutes defense spending, the duration of this rule, and its compatibility with NATO's 2% defense spending target.

A new instrument for joint EU-level spending will be established, focusing on investments in collaborative projects like air defense, long-range strike capabilities, missiles, drones, and military artificial intelligence. While some advocate for joint borrowing, this remains a contentious issue within the EU.

The European Investment Bank's investment restrictions on dual-use goods will be eased, attracting more financing, including from private banks. Additionally, von der Leyen has proposed reallocating unspent EU funds, including COVID-19 recovery funds, towards defense investments.

This comprehensive plan signifies a pivotal shift in Europe's approach to security, reflecting the continent's evolving geopolitical landscape. The success of this initiative will hinge on the EU's ability to navigate internal divisions and forge a unified path towards a stronger, more self-reliant defense posture.