Scientist Predicts 49% Chance of Civilization Collapse by 2050

Jared Diamond, a prominent American scientist and historian, has raised concerns over the future of civilization, suggesting there is a 49% likelihood of its collapse within the next 25 years. In an interview with Intelligencer, he expressed that the mismanagement of critical resources, particularly fisheries and agricultural lands, is occurring at an unsustainable pace and could lead to catastrophic outcomes by 2050.

Diamond pointed out that essential resources for maintaining complex societies—like fisheries and farming—are being depleting rapidly. He stressed that most global fisheries are currently being overseen in ways that do not support long-term viability, resulting in diminished stocks. Similarly, he noted that agricultural practices worldwide are unsustainable, particularly in terms of soil health and water management.

In his warning, Diamond highlighted the necessity for sustainable practices to be established before it becomes too late. He contended that with the ongoing patterns of resource exploitation, we could continue this unsustainable trajectory for a few more decades, but by around 2050, we would face a critical turning point. He indicated that by then, if we have not shifted towards a more sustainable model, it may be irreversible.

He advocated for action at multiple levels, emphasizing the roles individuals and organizations can play. Individuals can contribute by opting for different vehicles and supporting public transportation initiatives. Additionally, while acknowledging that some corporations engage in harmful practices, Diamond noted that many are also making significant positive changes that often go unnoticed.

Concluding his remarks, Diamond reiterated that addressing climate change is crucial and requires coordinated efforts from individuals, corporations, and governments alike to ensure a sustainable future.