Shinawatra Family Faces High-Stakes Court Battles in Thailand

Suspended Thai Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra was seen leaving the Constitutional Court in Bangkok, Thailand, on August 21, 2025, after testifying in an ethics case. The case followed a leaked phone conversation between her and Cambodia’s former leader Hun Sen.

The Shinawatra family, known for their wealth and political influence, is facing a series of crucial court decisions that could significantly impact their political standing. These rulings could potentially lead to an early election and further instability for Thailand's economy.

The Shinawatra family has been at the center of political turmoil in Thailand for two decades. The upcoming court decisions could lead to the removal of Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra due to an alleged ethics violation. Additionally, her father, Thaksin Shinawatra, could be sent back to prison.

One court will rule on whether Thaksin insulted the monarchy during a 2015 media interview, a serious offense in Thailand. Another court will decide if his 2023 detention in a VIP hospital wing, instead of jail, means his previous prison sentence was not fully served. Both Shinawatras have denied any wrongdoing.

Unfavorable verdicts for Paetongtarn and Thaksin could weaken the family's political influence and potentially trigger an early election. Some analysts believe the Pheu Thai party, once a dominant force, is not well-positioned to win in such an election.

The current government, led by Pheu Thai, is facing declining public support and is holding onto power by a narrow margin. The verdicts are coming at a critical time for Thailand's economy, which is struggling with slow growth, high debt, and concerns about policy stability.

Paetongtarn is accused of violating ethics in a phone conversation with former Cambodian leader Hun Sen. If she is removed from office, parliament will need to choose a new premier from a limited pool of candidates.

The Pheu Thai party has only one remaining candidate, Chaikasem Nitisiri. Other potential candidates include Anutin Charnvirakul and Prayuth Chan-ocha. The opposition People’s Party may support Anutin under certain conditions.

Unfavorable court verdicts could make it harder for Thaksin to maintain Pheu Thai's position in government. Some analysts suggest he still has support from conservative elements who want to prevent the progressive opposition from gaining power.