Immigration Concerns Fuel Shift in Labour Voter Sentiment, Impacting NHS and Political Landscape

New polling indicates that Labour voters identify immigration as the most significant strain on the National Health Service (NHS). A survey conducted by Merlin Strategy, involving 2,000 participants, revealed that immigration was perceived as a greater factor in the NHS crisis than issues like inadequate social care, obesity, and unhealthy food choices.

The poll also highlighted a shift in voter sentiment. Approximately 20% of individuals who voted Labour in the previous general election expressed a willingness to consider voting for Reform UK. Scarlett Maguire, the director of Merlin Strategy, emphasized that Labour voters are prioritizing action on the cost of living, healthcare, and immigration. She suggested that the government needs to demonstrate an understanding of these core voter concerns.

The research, carried out in May, showed that one in four respondents blamed immigration for the current state of the NHS. Other contributing factors cited were the mental health crisis (22%), lack of social care (13%), and issues related to junk food and obesity (12%). Sir Keir Starmer has recently adopted a firmer stance on immigration, expressing concerns about the nation becoming an "island of strangers." This shift contrasts with his previous statements as opposition leader, where he acknowledged the benefits of immigration. Maxwell Marlow, the director of public affairs at the Adam Smith Institute, which commissioned the poll, noted the public's perception of the impact of mass immigration on healthcare.

The polling results coincide with Reform UK's continued strong performance in various polls. The party recently secured a parliamentary seat in Runcorn and Helsby, a constituency previously held by Labour. This seat was considered a safe Labour stronghold, with the party winning it by a significant margin in the previous general election. However, the seat was won by Nigel Farage's party. A focus group conducted by Merlin Strategy in the area provided insights into the reasons behind this shift. Participants expressed sentiments of disconnect and questioned the relevance of certain policy proposals to the working class.