Nuclear Arms Race Fears Rise Amidst Global Tensions

A proliferation expert warns of a growing nuclear arsenal and the risk of conflict from misjudgment. Geopolitical tensions have revived nuclear arms race fears. Dr. van Hooft believes the current phase is more dangerous than the Cold War. States are rapidly modernizing and expanding their nuclear capabilities, with China's advancement a key concern.

The world faces a more complex strategic environment. More nuclear-armed states increase the risk of regional conflicts. Miscalculation risks are greater, especially with China's new capabilities. The US, Russia, China, India, and Pakistan are adapting their postures, differing from the Cold War.

deterring China and Russia, while accounting for North Korea. Modernization complicates policymaking. Russia and the US have the largest stockpiles. Other countries are also modernizing.

The UK, France, India, Pakistan, Israel, and North Korea are all involved in modernization. The breakdown of global dialogue and verification mechanisms is a major challenge. The collapse of arms control agreements increases misunderstanding risks.

Clear communication channels are more urgent than ever. Continuous communication, even between experts, can mitigate escalation risks. Diplomacy is a cost-effective way to ensure this. Overlapping rivalries fuel a global arms race. The margin for error is shrinking. The nuclear risk is not only weapon use but also leaders misreading each other in a crisis.