The Shifting Sands of the UK-US "Special Relationship

Donald Trump's initial period in office has presented challenges for Britain's defense posture, despite the existing "special relationship" between the UK and the US. His actions have disrupted the global order, triggering trade disputes and shifting the White House's security focus away from Europe. The UK has faced tariffs on goods entering the US. Furthermore, comments from US figures have highlighted a perceived weakening of the transatlantic alliance. The second Trump administration has raised questions about the reliability of the US as an ally, particularly given the seemingly warm personal relationship between the British Prime Minister and Mr. Trump.

The "special relationship" has been a cornerstone of the UK-US alliance, influencing UK foreign policy for years. This relationship is rooted in the US's commitment to European peace after World War II. The two countries have maintained close defense, security, and intelligence ties, including a nuclear agreement that leaves the UK reliant on US technology. Experts suggest that relying on an outdated notion of a "special relationship" would be unwise for Britain. Allies are now considering their long-term defense and security, with some suggesting the world may be entering a post-NATO era due to a perceived lack of trust in the US security guarantee. The UK's reliance on US technology for its nuclear deterrent and access to US intelligence makes this transition particularly difficult. While a friendly relationship may continue, British foreign policy will need to look beyond its relationship with the US.

The "special relationship" is not expected to be completely severed under the Trump administration, but the president's focus is primarily on the US. Experts suggest that relying on Trump for defense support may be unwise. US guarantees to defend Ukraine, for example, may not be popular. While a special relationship with the UK exists, there is uncertainty about the US's willingness to defend the UK. The US and UK have been closer under past leaders, but Trump's focus on the US means that the best outcome for allies may be to avoid becoming a target of his policies.

The "special relationship" has been justified by shared values, but these are also being tested. Trump has abandoned the common ground that united past leaders. The "special relationship" has experienced fluctuations, but it has generally been strong. The current strain is not due to the Prime Minister's preferences, but rather Trump's shift away from protecting countries that respect the rule of law and his abandonment of free trade principles. Trump's actions have challenged the idea that shared values can be the foundation of UK foreign policy.