Recent reports indicate that the U.S. military is feeling uncertain about its ability to effectively execute a strike on Iran's nuclear facilities. The military's doubts stem from their experiences in Yemen, where they tested bunker-busting bombs intended for use against Iran. They noted that Iranian sites are significantly better fortified and deeper underground compared to the facilities previously targeted in Yemen.

Furthermore, the effectiveness of recent airstrikes on Yemeni missile infrastructure has been called into question, with officials describing them as having been "ineffective at best, useless at worst." These experiences have contributed to a lack of confidence in the success of any potential military action against Iran's nuclear capabilities.

Additionally, the broader political landscape is shifting, with a source from Hamas mentioning that the group has accepted a proposal from mediators ahead of Eid al-Fitr. In another context, former President Trump expressed the urgency for Russia to take action in the ongoing war, underlining the humanitarian crisis. Meanwhile, there are indications that the probability of a U.S.-Iran nuclear deal by 2025 has risen to 45%, reflecting evolving dynamics in international negotiations.