The Shifting Sands of Influence - Russia and China's Contested Terrain

Putin, while focused on Ukraine, is also boosting Russian influence in Central Asia. Trade and investment between Russia and Central Asian countries have grown, with Russian energy companies dominating in Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan.

However, China is also expanding its influence. This competition raises questions about its impact on the relationship between Moscow and Beijing.

Central Asia, a region of five nations, has long been a focus of great power politics. While Russia has traditionally dominated, Central Asian leaders are showing signs of distancing themselves.

Despite this, all states remain part of Russia-led organizations, and economic dependency on Russia is significant.

With Russia preoccupied and sanctioned, China has deepened its engagement. China is now the largest trading partner of most Central Asian countries.

China has expanded its influence beyond economics, becoming a key player in regional politics. However, local populations are wary.

The increasing competition raises questions about the relationship between Moscow and Beijing. Putin acknowledges China's growing role but insists on Russia's "special ties."

On the ground, China and Russia have avoided conflict, but the balance is uncertain. Central Asian countries are diversifying ties.

Russia's dominance is ending. With both countries pursuing their agendas, the potential for future clashes is evident.