Deployment of Long-Range Missiles on Kyushu Signals a Move Towards Offensive Military Strategy

Deployment of Long-Range Missiles in Kyushu

Japan is considering the deployment of long-range missiles on the southwestern island of Kyushu, marking a significant shift from its traditionally defensive military strategy. This move is part of the country's broader efforts to acquire "counterstrike capabilities" to target enemy positions in an emergency.

The deployment is expected to begin at the end of the 2025 fiscal year, with the missiles potentially stationed at the Ground Self-Defense Force's surface-to-ship missile regiment garrisons in Yufu and Kumamoto. The missiles are an upgraded version of the GSDF's Type-12 land-to-ship guided missile, with an extended range of 1,000 kilometers, placing the Korean Peninsula and coastal regions of China within striking distance.

Analysts believe this deployment could significantly impact regional security dynamics. Kyushu's strategic location near the Chinese mainland and Taiwan gives Japan greater military leverage in the region, potentially affecting China's national security interests. Additionally, the deployment could impact the Korean Peninsula and give Japan greater ability to intervene in regional conflicts.

This shift towards a more offensive military strategy is further evidenced by Japan's recent actions. In January, the Ministry of Defense revealed the development of a new ballistic missile, the High-Speed Glide Missile for Island Defense, primarily intended for "remote island defense." This missile, along with the upgraded Type-12 system, provides Japan with medium-to-long-range strike capabilities.

Furthermore, Japan's new Defense Buildup Program outlines plans to establish two regiment-level battalions equipped with the High-Speed Glide Missile for Island Defense, with deployment sites in Kyushu and Hokkaido. This suggests that large portions of East Asia's coastal regions could be within the missile's strike range.

China has expressed concerns about Japan's military expansion, describing it as dangerous and detrimental to regional stability. They urge Japan to learn from history and exercise caution in its military strategy, emphasizing the importance of fostering trust with its Asian neighbors.