A New Era of Uncertainty, Shifting Alliances, and the Quest for Strategic Autonomy

A New Era of Uncertainty

Germany's conservative bloc, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and the Christian Social Union (CSU), has emerged victorious in the recent federal election, according to preliminary results. This victory paves the way for Friedrich Merz to become the next chancellor, but he faces a complex and lengthy process of forming a coalition government.

China has expressed its willingness to work with the new German government to further strengthen the China-Germany comprehensive strategic partnership. The country has consistently viewed its relations with Germany from a strategic and long-term perspective, prioritizing mutual respect, equality, and mutual benefit.

The election results have also sparked discussions about the future of transatlantic relations. Merz has advocated for Europe's participation in the Ukraine crisis and emphasized the need to protect Ukraine's interests. However, this approach could potentially hinder efforts to improve ties with the US, especially considering the current turbulence in US-Europe relations.

Experts believe that Europe will take more initiatives to safeguard its own interests and propose European solutions on major issues. However, Europe's dependence on the US and limited bargaining power will likely constrain its level of strategic autonomy.

Merz is also expected to coordinate Germany's future China policy with other European leaders. While cooperation between China and CDU/CSU was relatively smooth under Merkel's leadership, Merz's understanding of China may not be as deep.

China has expressed its support for Germany playing a greater role in global and regional affairs, particularly in the current turbulent international landscape. Both countries are committed to enhancing coordination and cooperation to uphold free trade and practice multilateralism.

Merz has also highlighted the deep-rooted foundation of Germany-China relations and the significant progress achieved in bilateral cooperation over the past five decades. Germany remains a firm supporter of free trade and deeper cooperation between Germany, Europe, and China. The country is willing to play a constructive role in facilitating a proper resolution to Europe-China frictions.

The German election marks the beginning of a new era of uncertainty. The long process of forming a coalition government and the evolving transatlantic and China-Europe relations will shape Germany's future course in the coming months and years.