Ego-Massaging Gone Wrong in the Face of Trump's Unpredictability

Sir Keir Starmer's Diplomatic Strategy on Ukraine in Tatters

Sir Keir Starmer's recent diplomatic efforts on Ukraine have been met with mixed results. While initial optimism prevailed, the unpredictable nature of President Trump and his administration has thrown a wrench into the UK's plans.

A Calculated Approach Gone Awry

Starmer's team, recognizing Trump's ego, attempted to massage it with flattery and deference. They offered a historic state visit, thanked him for changing the conversation on Ukraine, and aimed to schmooze him into action. This approach initially seemed successful, leaving the PM and his team optimistic.

However, three major flaws undermined the plan. Firstly, Trump's notorious unpredictability. Secondly, the presence of other influential figures in the US administration, such as Vice President JD Vance, who hold differing views. And lastly, the UK's refusal to consider Trump's potential unacceptability.

Unforeseen Developments and Diplomatic Scramble

The Oval Office meeting between Trump and Zelensky ended without a deal, forcing Starmer and his team into emergency planning. Despite this setback, Starmer remained optimistic, hoping to bring both leaders back to the table.

However, Trump's subsequent actions, including cancelling military aid to Ukraine and attacking Zelensky on social media, further complicated the situation. Starmer's claims of the US remaining a reliable partner were quickly contradicted by Trump's actions.

Challenges and the Way Forward

Starmer's diplomatic strategy on Ukraine has been left in tatters by the White House. The volatility of Trump and his administration, coupled with the freelancing of UK ambassador Lord Mandelson, have created a challenging situation.

Moving forward, Starmer and his team must factor in the possibility of Trump's unreasonable actions. Only then can they hope to effectively deal with a White House seemingly intent on dismantling the Western alliance. This applies not only to Ukraine but also to issues like tariffs and trade deals.

The unpredictable nature of the Trump administration presents a significant obstacle to Starmer's diplomatic efforts. Adapting to this volatility and developing contingency plans will be crucial in navigating the complex and ever-changing landscape of US-UK relations.