Can Trump Deliver Peace to Ukraine Amidst War's Devastating Toll and Russia's Internal Turmoil?

A Fragile Peace in Sight?

As the 47th President of the United States prepares to take office, the world watches with bated breath, hoping for a swift resolution to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. President Trump has boldly promised to bring peace within "24 hours," a seemingly impossible feat considering the years of bloodshed and devastation.

is a peace deal even possible after nearly three years of relentless war?

Ukraine desperately needs peace, a "fair" one, however elusive that may seem. With mounting casualties and territorial losses, President Zelensky has acknowledged the need for a settlement. However, with waning Western support, Ukraine's position is precarious, leaving Russia as the likely victor in the long run.

However, this view overlooks the immense damage the war has inflicted on Russia itself. While President Putin may not mourn the fallen soldiers, he cannot ignore the crippling economic consequences. The ruble has plummeted, sanctions have isolated Russia from global markets, and China's economic woes have further hampered its largest export partner.

Russia's internal woes are equally concerning. Inflation is rampant, exceeding 13% in 2024, and experts predict "stagflation" and a banking crisis in 2025. The human cost is equally staggering, with estimates suggesting 200,000 Russian soldiers killed and three times that number injured. The recruitment of North Korean soldiers and prisoners underscores the desperate state of Russia's military manpower.

Putin needs peace, but one that he can portray as a victory to the Russian people. Currently, Russia illegally occupies nearly 20% of Ukrainian territory, which President Zelensky acknowledges Ukraine lacks the military capability to reclaim. A peace deal would likely involve Russia retaining this occupied land, at least in the short term, with a demilitarized zone separating the two sides.

While Ukraine desires NATO membership, it realistically understands that it is unattainable in the near future. However, it requires binding security guarantees from the West, as a fragile peace deal could simply enable Russia to regroup and launch another attack.

accept the deal or face severe consequences. This approach could force both sides to the negotiating table, potentially leading to a much-needed peace agreement.

However, achieving such a deal may require more than just 24 hours. It could take weeks, even months, to navigate the complex political landscape and secure the necessary concessions from both sides. Nevertheless, with skillful negotiation and unwavering resolve, President Trump may yet succeed in bringing an end to this devastating conflict.